Tea Bird

With 99% of Precincts In, Hillary Wins by 9% UPDATED

According to the Pennsylvania Department of State’s election returns website, 99.34% of precincts have reported results.
Clinton 1,237,696
Obama 1,043,174
That puts Clinton 194,522 votes ahead of Obama for a winning margin of 8.6%, and it puts my 8% prediction right on the money.
UPDATE: As Patsy points out in the comments, it’s now been updated at the PA [...]

Hillary Clinton Wins the Pennsylvania Primary

We won’t know the margin of her victory in the Pennsylvania primary yet, but it wasn’t long before all of the networks called the race.  Will it be enough for her to overcome his delegate lead, or, perhaps more immediately, be enough for her to raise enough money quickly to get out of debt?

Early Pennsylvania Primary Returns

Rather than rely on me or other media outlets for early returns, why not get your Pennsylvania primary results straight from the source at the Pennsylvania Department of State’s own website?  Pennsylvania, for the most part, has great web services.  Lots of media outlets try to siphon readers onto their websites (to get the most [...]

John McCain Wins Republican Pennsylvania Primary

Pennsylvania Republicans continued the McCain winning streak of essentially uncontested primaries. Ron Paul was on the ballot, but his candidacy has long been past viable.

Allegheny County - Pittsburgh Turnout Huge in Obama Strongholds

According to Pittsburgh political reporting legend Jon Delano, turnout in Allegheny County is likely to exceed previous records, hitting the 60% mark.  Interestingly, turnout is notably higher than usual in Penn Hills (high African-American population), East End/East Liberty (high A-A/Obama headquarters), Moon township (part of the Obama-friendly Cranberry exurb), Shadyside (wealthy & liberal) and the [...]

Early Pennsylvania Primary Exit Polls from CNN

The CNN version of early exit polls of the Pennsylvania primary say that:

New voters choose Obama over Clinton by 60 to 38
But, late deciding voters chose Clinton over Obama 58 to 42.  This is as it has been in previous primaries.

ABC News Early Exit Poll of Pennsylvania Primary

ABC News’ version of the early exit polling in the PA primary says that:

1/2 are self-identified liberals — way more than the 1/4 to 1/3 typical in past Pennsylvania primaries
40% are gun owners — no surprise there
Just under 1/2 have a college degree — more than the 38% in Ohio

More Drudge Early Exit Polls for the Pennsylvania Primary

Fresh from the unreliable Drudge Report, here are more of the Fox News early Pennsylvania primary exit polls:
Among Women:
Clinton 55
Obama 44
Among Men:
Clinton 47
Obama53

CBS News Early Exit Polls

This is largely bluster, but the latest in the early Pennsylvania primary exit polls:

 70% of Pennsylvania Democrats would be happy if Clinton is the nominee
64% of Pennsylvania Democrats would be happy if Obama is the nominee

Early Pennsylvania Primary Exit Polls Updated

According to Drudge, early exits polls from the Pennsylvania primary give Clinton 52 Obama 48. Keep in mind, these are almost always wrong.
From the AP, a little more exit poll detail.

A little more than half are women
About 1/3 are 65 or older
About 1/4 have postgraduate degrees
About 1/4 earn $100k annually or more
20% made up [...]