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John Dickerson of Slate also lays out the media’s case for Clinton needing a big win in Pennsylvania tonight. How big of a margin will Clinton need in the Pennsylvania primary? That number will be determined by a complicated and unknowable formula composed of press reaction, superdelegate calculations, and the constancy of Clinton’s own supporters. Clinton Continuing on our theme of extracting meaning from Pennsylvania primary results today, Adam Nagourney says that a win will need to be in the double digits for the Clinton campaign to really be able to claim victory. [I]f Mrs. Clinton defeats Mr. Obama by a significant margin – think over 10 percent – it would give This morning, several MSNBC analysts weighed in. Tim Russert explains why this is an issue, which is to say why a win might not simply be a win: Becuase she has to make the case, she has to provide the rationale, to superdelegates and donors that she has a reasonable chance of winning this nomination and In today’s Wall Street Journal, Amy Chozick puts to paper the thoughts of most of the media when she writes that Senator Clinton needs to win Pennsylvania big. Anything less than a double-digit victory could solidify the perception that Illinois Sen. Barack Obama is the inevitable Democratic nominee, sparking a flow of superdelegates to his side. The Claire McCaskill, freshman Senator from Missouri and Obama backer thinks the Land of Lincoln Senator will lose Pennsylvania by double digits. Usually, this means the campaign believes it will lose by something less than double digits. How to win by losing — lower the expectations for your performance. When you over perform to your expectations, you win. |
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