Tea Bird

CBS News Early Exit Polls

This is largely bluster, but the latest in the early Pennsylvania primary exit polls:

 70% of Pennsylvania Democrats would be happy if Clinton is the nominee
64% of Pennsylvania Democrats would be happy if Obama is the nominee

Early Pennsylvania Primary Exit Polls Updated

According to Drudge, early exits polls from the Pennsylvania primary give Clinton 52 Obama 48. Keep in mind, these are almost always wrong.
From the AP, a little more exit poll detail.

A little more than half are women
About 1/3 are 65 or older
About 1/4 have postgraduate degrees
About 1/4 earn $100k annually or more
20% made up [...]

Why Does Obama Want This Primary to End?

Among other reasons, he said last night that he only sees his daughters about once a week.  I’d want it to end too — and I’m sure his girls do as well.

Voter Turnout Large in Pittsburgh Updated

I’ve received reports from several precincts in and around the city of Pittsburgh today that indicate that voter turnout is huge. In Squirrel Hill, by 10 am, turnout had already exceeded 30%. Election workers there believe it will easily exceed 50% by the time the polls close. In Penn Hills, Homewood, Shadyside, [...]

Dickerson Does Expectations for the Pennsylvania Primary

John Dickerson of Slate also lays out the media’s case for Clinton needing a big win in Pennsylvania tonight.  How big of a margin will Clinton need in the Pennsylvania primary?
That number will be determined by a complicated and unknowable formula composed of press reaction, superdelegate calculations, and the constancy of Clinton’s own supporters. Clinton [...]

Final Pennsylvania Primary Poll

Insider Advantage has their latest and last Pennsylvania primary poll out this afternoon.  They put Clinton up by 7, although Obama has gained 3 since their previous poll last week.
Clinton 49
Obama 42
Among women: 53-48% Clinton
Among men:  48-45% Obama

Polling guru Mark Blumenthal Neatly Summarizes PA Polling of Late

Mark Blumenthal wraps up Pennsylvania polling with a few well-thought remarks at Pollster.com.  His conclusion after reviewing all of the latest polls and pollsters:
The future will be here in about 12 hours. We will know soon enough.
It’s well written and worth a read.

Nagourney of the New York Times Surveys PA Primary Expectations

Continuing on our theme of extracting meaning from Pennsylvania primary results today, Adam Nagourney says that a win will need to be in the double digits for the Clinton campaign to really be able to claim victory.
[I]f Mrs. Clinton defeats Mr. Obama by a significant margin – think over 10 percent – it would give [...]

Representatives Jason Altmire and Mike Doyle Attend Obama Rally in Pittsburgh

One of the reasons why many speculate that Obama has more superdelegates lined up to vote for him than his current list of pledged super delegates is due what I witnessed during last night’s Obama rally in Pittsburgh’s Petersen Events Center.
Both Jason Altmire and Mike Doyle sat in the VIP section of the event. [...]

Barack Obama Rallies the Faithful in Pittsburgh on Primary Eve

The Obama campaign drew a huge, essentially capacity-filling crowd to Pittsburgh’s Petersen Events Center, home of Pitt Panthers basketball. The crowd began pouring in at 7:30 pm and didn’t really stop coming until Obama took the stage after 10 pm. Obama’s crowds, due to their sheer size if for no other reason, draw [...]