Tea Bird

Is There A Hidden McCain Vote?

Will undecideds break largely for McCain?
It’s what Republican pollsters have been saying the last few weeks, and seems to be what Chuck Todd at NBC thinks as well. The net effect would be that Obama’s share of the vote is what current polling pegs it at, while McCain would scoop up the [...]

Pew: Obama By 16…By 19 Among Those Who Have Already Voted

From Ambinder, the latest Pew poll:

Pew’s Andy Kohut conducts one of the better national surveys out there, and his results today — even assuming that he caught McCain in a downdraft — are fairly stunning. Obama leads by 16 points among likely voters, by 17 points among independents, by 13 points among men, by [...]

Big10: US, IL, IN, IA, MI, MN, OH, PA, WI (10/19-22)

From Pollster:

by Eric Dienstfrey
Big Ten Battleground Poll
10/19-22/08; 4.2%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
(source)
National 1,014 LV, 3.1%
Obama 52, McCain 43
Illinois 572 LV
Obama 61%, McCain 32%
Indiana 586 LV
Obama 51%, McCain 42%
Iowa 586 LV
Obama 52%, McCain 39%
Michigan 562 LV
Obama 58%, McCain 36%
Minnesota 583 LV
Obama 57%, McCain 38%
Sen: Franken (D) 40, Coleman (R-i) 34, Barkley (I) 15
Ohio 564 LV
Obama 53%, [...]

Quinnipiac: Obama Leads in Big Three

From Taegan Goddard:

With 12 days to go, a new Quinnipiac poll finds Sen. John McCain is narrowing the gap in Florida, but fading in Ohio and barely denting Sen. Barack Obama’s double-digit lead in Pennsylvania.
Florida: Obama 49%, McCain 44%
Ohio: Obama 52%, McCain 38%
Pennsylvania: Obama 53%, McCain 40%
Said pollster Peter Brown: “As we [...]

Latest Battleground Poll Results

Latest Time/CNN poll results:

Colorado: Obama 51, McCain 47
Michigan: Obama 51, McCain 46
Montana: McCain 54, Obama 43
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, McCain 44
West Virginia: McCain 50, Obama 46
Dates conducted: Sept. 21-23. Error margin: 3.5 points.
      

In Latest Poll McCain Holds Small Edge in Florida

The latest Miami Herald poll puts Senator John McCain slightly ahead of Senator Barack Obama.
McCain 47%
Obama 45%
Key finding:

Obama is in a position to improve his poll numbers, given the confidence in his handling of the economy.

Obama Now Way Out in Front in Iowa

The latest Research 2000 poll in Iowa puts Senator Barack Obama significantly ahead of Senator John McCain.
Obama 53%
McCain39%
Key Finding:

This is the state that started it all for Obama. He’s very popular here.

PPP Poll: North Carolina Deadlocked

The latest Public Policy Polling poll in North Carolina finds the presidential election tied there with Barack Obama and John McCain each getting 46% of voters’ support.
From the survey:
Obama has a 58% to 34% advantage with those voters who say the economy is
their biggest concern. He has reclaimed a small lead with North
Carolina independents and [...]

Latest Marist Polls: MI, OH, PA

The latest Marist College polls show Obama up 9 points in Michigan, up 2 points in Ohio and up 4 points in Pennsylvania from the previous poll.
Ohio: Obama 44%, McCain 44%
Michigan: Obama 50%, McCain 41%
Pennsylvania: Obama 45%, McCain 42%

Latest Polls Show Obama Leads in Colorado While McCain Ahead in Virginia

In the battleground state of Colorado, Obama is now up 10 points, while the latest Virginia Insider Advantage poll has McCain up by 2 points.
Colorado: Obama 51%, McCain 41%
Virginia: McCain 48%, Obama 46%