Will undecideds break largely for McCain?
It’s what Republican pollsters have been saying the last few weeks, and seems to be what Chuck Todd at NBC thinks as well. The net effect would be that Obama’s share of the vote is what current polling pegs it at, while McCain would scoop up the lion’s share
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From Ambinder, the latest Pew poll:
Pew’s Andy Kohut conducts one of the better national surveys out there, and his results today — even assuming that he caught McCain in a downdraft — are fairly stunning. Obama leads by 16 points among likely voters, by 17 points among independents, by 13 points among men, by 20
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From Pollster:
by Eric Dienstfrey
Big Ten Battleground Poll
10/19-22/08; 4.2%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
(source)
National 1,014 LV, 3.1%
Obama 52, McCain 43
Illinois 572 LV
Obama 61%, McCain 32%
Indiana 586 LV
Obama 51%, McCain 42%
Iowa 586 LV
Obama 52%, McCain 39%
Michigan 562 LV
Obama 58%, McCain 36%
Minnesota 583 LV
Obama 57%, McCain 38%
Sen: Franken (D) 40, Coleman (R-i) 34, Barkley (I) 15
Ohio 564 LV
Obama 53%, McCain
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From Taegan Goddard:
With 12 days to go, a new Quinnipiac poll finds Sen. John McCain is narrowing the gap in Florida, but fading in Ohio and barely denting Sen. Barack Obama’s double-digit lead in Pennsylvania.
Florida: Obama 49%, McCain 44%
Ohio: Obama 52%, McCain 38%
Pennsylvania: Obama 53%, McCain 40%
Said pollster Peter Brown: “As we enter
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Latest Time/CNN poll results:
Colorado: Obama 51, McCain 47
Michigan: Obama 51, McCain 46
Montana: McCain 54, Obama 43
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, McCain 44
West Virginia: McCain 50, Obama 46
Dates conducted: Sept. 21-23. Error margin: 3.5 points.
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