Tea Bird

Latest National Numbers from Pew

From The Page:

From Pew Research Center poll:
Obama 46, McCain 44
Dates conducted: Sept. 9-14. Error margin: 2.5 points.
Read more — including what voters think of the two parties — here.

IN Poll: Obama +3

From TIME: Real Clear Politics:

A new Indianapolis Star poll in Indiana has Obama leading McCain by 3 points (Sept. 14-16, 600 LV). Obama leads by 14 points in Indianapolis, the poll finds, while McCain leads in all other regions.

Allstate/National Journal Battleground Poll

From Hotline On Call:

The numbers.
CO
McCain, 44%, Obama, 45%
FL
McCain, 44%, Obama, 44%
NM
McCain, 42%, Obama, 49%
OH
McCain, 42%, Obama, 41%
VA
McCain, 48%, Obama, 41%

Popping the Palin Bubble

From FirstRead:

Has Palin’s luster worn off? Has the bubble popped? The New York Times on its survey: “The poll also underlined the extent to which Mr. McCain’s convention, and his selection of Ms. Palin, had excited Republican base voters about his candidacy, which is no small thing in a contest that continues to be so [...]

Quinnipiac polll puts Obama +4

The new Quinnipiac University national poll shows Obama leading McCain by 4 points. With this poll, Obama has now regained a slim lead in the Real Clear Politics National Average, which McCain had led for the past week.

PPP Poll: Obama Stays Ahead in Virginia

From Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire:

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Virginia finds Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 48% to 46%.
Analysis: “Virginia
is the only battleground state PPP has surveyed since the conventions
where Joe Biden gets better overall reviews from the electorate than
Sarah Palin. His favorable rating is a net positive of 11 points, [...]

Obama Edges Ahead In The National Polls

From TPM Election Central:

Barack Obama has now edged into a narrow lead in most of the national polls released today, suggesting John McCain’s bounce may be subsiding after he had been leading over the last week and a half.
First, here’s our daily roundup of the four major national tracking polls:
• Gallup: Obama 47%, McCain 45%, [...]

Has the worm turned?

From Chuck Todd:

Has the worm turned? After the news of the crisis on Wall Street, McCain’s “the fundamentals of our economy are strong” stumble on Monday, the slip-ups yesterday by McCain’s two biggest economic surrogates (see below for more on that), and four days of sustained TV ad and email blasts by the Obama campaign [...]

Economists Favor Obama

A poll of economists finds that Senator Obama is preferred over Senator McCain by a whopping 66% to 28% margin.
The survey consisted of 523 economists who are both U.S. citizens and members of the American Economic Association.

McCain Moves Ahead in Ohio in PPP Poll

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Ohio shows McCain leads for the first time since the winter, taking a four point lead over Obama, 48% to 44%.